Performance
Live Performance: EFA
All data and statistics found on this page detail our live, real-time signals as applied to security symbol EFA, a popular, highly liquid ETF tracking the MSCI EAFE Index of international stocks, comparing them to buy and hold. (See also Chart Roundup.)
Summary Statistics Of Monthly Returns Since 1st Live Signal |
Trading Instrument : EFA |
LogicTiming |
Buy & Hold |
Signals |
| 74-Month Average |
1.5% |
0.4% |
2.2 |
| Maximum |
33.7% |
13.2% |
8 |
| Minimum |
(15.0%) |
(20.8%) |
0 |
| Standard Deviation1 |
6.1% |
5.9% |
- |
| Risk-Reward Ratio2 |
0.25 |
0.08 |
- |
| Upper 95% Confidence Interval3 |
3.0% |
1.8% |
- |
| Lower 95% Confidence Interval |
0.1% |
(0.9%) |
- |
| Win Rate4 |
65% |
57% |
- |
| Total Return |
173.1% |
21.9% |
- |
| Annualized Return |
17.7% |
3.3% |
- |
|
|
|
|
Month-By-Month Performance Of Live Returns With EFA |
Month |
LogicTiming |
Buy & Hold |
Signals |
| Jun-04 |
3.4% |
3.4% |
0 |
| Jul-04 |
0.5% |
(4.3%) |
3 |
| Aug-04 |
(1.2%) |
1.2% |
0 |
| Sep-04 |
0.8% |
2.1% |
3 |
| Oct-04 |
3.5% |
3.5% |
0 |
| Nov-04 |
6.1% |
6.1% |
0 |
| Dec-04 |
4.8% |
4.8% |
0 |
| Jan-05 |
(3.5%) |
(1.9%) |
8 |
| Feb-05 |
2.9% |
3.8% |
1 |
| Mar-05 |
5.3% |
(2.6%) |
4 |
| Apr-05 |
2.6% |
(1.6%) |
2 |
| May-05 |
(3.8%) |
(0.9%) |
1 |
| Jun-05 |
1.4% |
1.4% |
0 |
| Jul-05 |
3.0% |
3.0% |
0 |
| Aug-05 |
3.8% |
3.8% |
0 |
| Sep-05 |
2.0% |
3.7% |
2 |
| Oct-05 |
(1.0%) |
(3.2%) |
2 |
| Nov-05 |
2.3% |
2.3% |
0 |
| Dec-05 |
5.2% |
5.2% |
0 |
| Jan-06 |
(0.1%) |
5.8% |
2 |
| Feb-06 |
(1.5%) |
(0.7%) |
1 |
| Mar-06 |
3.3% |
4.0% |
1 |
| Apr-06 |
4.8% |
4.8% |
0 |
| May-06 |
(0.2%) |
(3.8%) |
3 |
| Jun-06 |
14.2% |
(0.1%) |
3 |
| Jul-06 |
(2.5%) |
0.8% |
2 |
| Aug-06 |
0.5% |
2.5% |
4 |
| Sep-06 |
2.0% |
0.2% |
2 |
| Oct-06 |
3.7% |
3.7% |
0 |
| Nov-06 |
4.2% |
3.1% |
2 |
| Dec-06 |
3.2% |
3.2% |
0 |
| Jan-07 |
1.4% |
1.4% |
0 |
| Feb-07 |
(0.3%) |
(0.1%) |
1 |
| Mar-07 |
8.6% |
2.9% |
3 |
| Apr-07 |
3.8% |
3.7% |
0 |
| May-07 |
3.1% |
2.4% |
2 |
| Jun-07 |
(2.5%) |
(0.3%) |
2 |
| Jul-07 |
(2.3%) |
(2.3%) |
0 |
| Aug-07 |
(0.6%) |
(0.6%) |
2 |
| Sep-07 |
5.3% |
5.3% |
0 |
| Oct-07 |
4.2% |
4.2% |
0 |
| Nov-07 |
(3.6%) |
(3.6%) |
0 |
| Dec-07 |
(8.6%) |
(3.0%) |
4 |
| Jan-08 |
0.7% |
(7.8%) |
6 |
| Feb-08 |
(10.6%) |
(1.0%) |
1 |
| Mar-08 |
3.4% |
0.4% |
5 |
| Apr-08 |
1.9% |
5.4% |
1 |
| May-08 |
1.2% |
1.2% |
0 |
| Jun-08 |
(9.1%) |
(10.5%) |
1 |
| Jul-08 |
2.0% |
(3.3%) |
5 |
| Aug-08 |
(1.7%) |
(4.2%) |
5 |
| Sep-08 |
6.2% |
(11.4%) |
5 |
| Oct-08 |
33.7% |
(20.8%) |
4 |
| Nov-08 |
(3.7%) |
(6.4%) |
6 |
| Dec-08 |
2.8% |
7.5% |
2 |
| Jan-09 |
7.0% |
(13.7%) |
4 |
| Feb-09 |
4.5% |
(10.4%) |
4 |
| Mar-09 |
12.3% |
8.4% |
8 |
| Apr-09 |
(3.3%) |
11.5% |
7 |
| May-09 |
0.0% |
13.2% |
2 |
| Jun-09 |
0.6% |
(3.5%) |
2 |
| Jul-09 |
1.5% |
10.0% |
1 |
| Aug-09 |
(5.0%) |
4.5% |
5 |
| Sep-09 |
1.9% |
3.8% |
4 |
| Oct-09 |
(9.7%) |
(2.5%) |
2 |
| Nov-09 |
3.9% |
3.9% |
0 |
| Dec-09 |
(0.2%) |
(0.2%) |
0 |
| Jan-10 |
1.1% |
(5.1%) |
4 |
| Feb-10 |
3.3% |
0.3% |
2 |
| Mar-10 |
4.9% |
6.4% |
2 |
| Apr-10 |
(3.4%) |
(2.8%) |
2 |
| May-10 |
(15.0%) |
(11.2%) |
4 |
| Jun-10 |
(3.5%) |
(3.7%) |
5 |
| Jul-10 |
8.6% |
11.6% |
2 |
Trade-By-Trade Performance of LogicTiming Live Signals |
| Trades With EFA* |
| Entry |
Exit |
Gain/(Loss) |
| buy |
27-May-04 |
42.58 |
7-Jul-04 |
43.31 |
1.7% |
| sell |
7-Jul-04 |
43.31 |
14-Jul-04 |
43.10 |
0.5% |
| buy |
14-Jul-04 |
43.10 |
19-Jul-04 |
42.96 |
(0.3%) |
| sell |
19-Jul-04 |
42.96 |
1-Sep-04 |
42.67 |
0.7% |
| buy |
1-Sep-04 |
42.67 |
2-Sep-04 |
42.69 |
0.0% |
| sell |
2-Sep-04 |
42.69 |
8-Sep-04 |
42.92 |
(0.5%) |
| buy |
8-Sep-04 |
42.92 |
5-Jan-05 |
48.85 |
13.8% |
| sell |
5-Jan-05 |
48.85 |
6-Jan-05 |
49.24 |
(0.8%) |
| buy |
6-Jan-05 |
49.24 |
10-Jan-05 |
48.87 |
(0.8%) |
| sell |
10-Jan-05 |
48.87 |
19-Jan-05 |
48.24 |
1.3% |
| buy |
19-Jan-05 |
48.24 |
24-Jan-05 |
48.37 |
0.3% |
| sell |
24-Jan-05 |
48.37 |
25-Jan-05 |
48.90 |
(1.1%) |
| buy |
25-Jan-05 |
48.90 |
26-Jan-05 |
48.83 |
(0.1%) |
| sell |
26-Jan-05 |
48.83 |
27-Jan-05 |
48.93 |
(0.2%) |
| buy |
27-Jan-05 |
48.93 |
24-Feb-05 |
50.77 |
3.8% |
| sell |
24-Feb-05 |
50.77 |
1-Mar-05 |
50.69 |
0.2% |
| buy |
1-Mar-05 |
50.69 |
2-Mar-05 |
51.09 |
0.8% |
| sell |
2-Mar-05 |
51.09 |
4-Mar-05 |
51.51 |
(0.8%) |
| buy |
4-Mar-05 |
51.51 |
7-Mar-05 |
51.79 |
0.5% |
| sell |
7-Mar-05 |
51.79 |
7-Apr-05 |
50.16 |
3.1% |
| buy |
7-Apr-05 |
50.16 |
8-Apr-05 |
50.43 |
0.5% |
| sell |
8-Apr-05 |
50.43 |
5-May-05 |
49.58 |
1.7% |
| buy |
5-May-05 |
49.58 |
19-Sep-05 |
53.91 |
8.7% |
| sell |
19-Sep-05 |
53.91 |
29-Sep-05 |
54.35 |
(0.8%) |
| buy |
29-Sep-05 |
54.35 |
7-Oct-05 |
53.43 |
(1.7%) |
| sell |
7-Oct-05 |
53.43 |
28-Oct-05 |
52.83 |
1.1% |
| buy |
28-Oct-05 |
52.83 |
20-Jan-06 |
58.22 |
10.2% |
| sell |
20-Jan-06 |
58.22 |
27-Jan-06 |
59.89 |
(2.9%) |
| buy |
27-Jan-06 |
59.89 |
9-Feb-06 |
59.37 |
(0.9%) |
| sell |
9-Feb-06 |
59.37 |
1-Mar-06 |
59.82 |
(0.8%) |
| buy |
1-Mar-06 |
59.82 |
10-May-06 |
67.16 |
12.3% |
| sell |
10-May-06 |
67.16 |
14-May-06 |
64.81 |
3.5% |
| buy |
14-May-06 |
64.81 |
21-May-06 |
61.45 |
(5.2%) |
| sell |
21-May-06 |
61.45 |
13-Jun-06 |
57.69 |
6.1% |
| buy |
13-Jun-06 |
57.69 |
14-Jun-06 |
58.74 |
1.8% |
| sell |
14-Jun-06 |
58.74 |
15-Jun-06 |
59.34 |
(1.0%) |
| buy |
15-Jun-06 |
59.34 |
13-Jul-06 |
60.04 |
1.2% |
| sell |
13-Jul-06 |
60.04 |
25-Jul-06 |
61.03 |
(1.6%) |
| buy |
25-Jul-06 |
61.03 |
3-Aug-06 |
63.54 |
4.1% |
| sell |
3-Aug-06 |
63.54 |
7-Aug-06 |
62.74 |
1.3% |
| cash |
7-Aug-06 |
62.74 |
8-Aug-06 |
63.37 |
- |
| sell |
8-Aug-06 |
63.37 |
15-Aug-06 |
64.50 |
(1.8%) |
| buy |
15-Aug-06 |
64.50 |
5-Sep-06 |
64.63 |
0.2% |
| cash |
5-Sep-06 |
64.63 |
7-Sep-06 |
63.48 |
- |
| buy |
7-Sep-06 |
63.48 |
21-Nov-06 |
68.33 |
7.6% |
| cash |
21-Nov-06 |
68.33 |
27-Nov-06 |
67.60 |
- |
| buy |
27-Nov-06 |
67.60 |
27-Feb-07 |
72.15 |
6.7% |
| cash |
27-Feb-07 |
72.15 |
4-Mar-07 |
69.68 |
- |
| buy |
4-Mar-07 |
69.68 |
12-Mar-07 |
72.13 |
3.5% |
| cash |
12-Mar-07 |
72.13 |
14-Mar-07 |
70.89 |
- |
| buy |
14-Mar-07 |
70.89 |
6-May-07 |
78.67 |
11.0% |
| cash |
6-May-07 |
78.67 |
8-May-07 |
78.09 |
- |
| buy |
8-May-07 |
78.09 |
12-Jun-07 |
76.84 |
(1.6%) |
| sell |
12-Jun-07 |
76.84 |
13-Jun-07 |
77.69 |
(1.1%) |
| buy |
13-Jun-07 |
77.69 |
4-Aug-07 |
76.34 |
(1.7%) |
| cash |
4-Aug-07 |
76.34 |
8-Aug-07 |
76.31 |
- |
| buy |
8-Aug-07 |
76.31 |
19-Dec-07 |
76.99 |
0.9% |
| sell |
19-Dec-07 |
76.99 |
23-Dec-07 |
79.30 |
(3.0%) |
| buy |
23-Dec-07 |
79.30 |
27-Dec-07 |
79.23 |
(0.1%) |
| cash |
27-Dec-07 |
79.23 |
28-Dec-07 |
79.23 |
- |
| buy |
28-Dec-07 |
79.23 |
15-Jan-08 |
73.35 |
(7.4%) |
| sell |
15-Jan-08 |
73.35 |
22-Jan-08 |
66.25 |
9.7% |
| cash |
22-Jan-08 |
66.25 |
24-Jan-08 |
72.73 |
- |
| sell |
24-Jan-08 |
72.73 |
28-Jan-08 |
71.81 |
1.3% |
| cash |
28-Jan-08 |
71.81 |
30-Jan-08 |
70.25 |
- |
| sell |
30-Jan-08 |
70.25 |
31-Jan-08 |
72.96 |
(3.9%) |
| buy |
31-Jan-08 |
72.96 |
6-Feb-08 |
68.70 |
(5.8%) |
| sell |
6-Feb-08 |
68.70 |
10-Mar-08 |
71.08 |
(3.5%) |
| cash |
10-Mar-08 |
71.08 |
17-Mar-08 |
70.05 |
- |
| sell |
17-Mar-08 |
70.05 |
18-Mar-08 |
70.34 |
(0.4%) |
| cash |
18-Mar-08 |
70.34 |
23-Mar-08 |
69.77 |
- |
| buy |
23-Mar-08 |
69.77 |
31-Mar-08 |
72.90 |
4.5% |
| sell |
31-Mar-08 |
72.90 |
1-Apr-08 |
74.15 |
(1.7%) |
| buy |
1-Apr-08 |
74.15 |
25-Jun-08 |
69.20 |
(6.7%) |
| sell |
25-Jun-08 |
69.20 |
14-Jul-08 |
64.64 |
6.6% |
| cash |
14-Jul-08 |
64.64 |
15-Jul-08 |
64.25 |
- |
| sell |
15-Jul-08 |
64.25 |
20-Jul-08 |
67.73 |
(5.4%) |
| cash |
20-Jul-08 |
67.73 |
27-Jul-08 |
66.97 |
- |
| sell |
27-Jul-08 |
66.97 |
28-Jul-08 |
65.69 |
1.9% |
| cash |
28-Jul-08 |
65.69 |
10-Aug-08 |
65.43 |
- |
| buy |
10-Aug-08 |
65.43 |
14-Aug-08 |
63.19 |
(3.4%) |
| cash |
14-Aug-08 |
63.19 |
18-Aug-08 |
62.10 |
- |
| buy |
18-Aug-08 |
62.10 |
20-Aug-08 |
62.34 |
0.4% |
| cash |
20-Aug-08 |
62.34 |
26-Aug-08 |
62.69 |
- |
| buy |
26-Aug-08 |
62.69 |
2-Sep-08 |
62.35 |
(0.5%) |
| sell |
2-Sep-08 |
62.35 |
4-Sep-08 |
59.35 |
4.8% |
| cash |
4-Sep-08 |
59.35 |
11-Sep-08 |
59.36 |
- |
| sell |
11-Sep-08 |
59.36 |
18-Sep-08 |
60.69 |
(2.2%) |
| cash |
18-Sep-08 |
60.69 |
24-Sep-08 |
59.68 |
- |
| sell |
24-Sep-08 |
59.68 |
7-Oct-08 |
47.15 |
21.0% |
| buy |
7-Oct-08 |
47.15 |
13-Oct-08 |
50.41 |
6.9% |
| cash |
13-Oct-08 |
50.41 |
22-Oct-08 |
41.62 |
- |
| sell |
22-Oct-08 |
41.62 |
23-Oct-08 |
38.48 |
7.5% |
| cash |
23-Oct-08 |
38.48 |
2-Nov-08 |
44.38 |
- |
| sell |
2-Nov-08 |
44.38 |
4-Nov-08 |
46.94 |
(5.8%) |
| cash |
4-Nov-08 |
46.94 |
9-Nov-08 |
45.45 |
- |
| sell |
9-Nov-08 |
45.45 |
11-Nov-08 |
41.61 |
8.4% |
| cash |
11-Nov-08 |
41.61 |
17-Nov-08 |
40.00 |
- |
| buy |
17-Nov-08 |
40.00 |
19-Nov-08 |
37.68 |
(5.8%) |
| cash |
19-Nov-08 |
37.68 |
30-Nov-08 |
40.31 |
- |
| sell |
30-Nov-08 |
40.31 |
2-Dec-08 |
39.18 |
2.8% |
| cash |
2-Dec-08 |
39.18 |
7-Jan-09 |
44.47 |
- |
| buy |
7-Jan-09 |
44.47 |
11-Jan-09 |
43.28 |
(2.7%) |
| sell |
11-Jan-09 |
43.28 |
15-Jan-09 |
41.25 |
4.7% |
| cash |
15-Jan-09 |
41.25 |
27-Jan-09 |
40.75 |
- |
| sell |
27-Jan-09 |
40.75 |
8-Feb-09 |
40.68 |
0.2% |
| cash |
8-Feb-09 |
40.68 |
10-Feb-09 |
39.28 |
- |
| sell |
10-Feb-09 |
39.28 |
22-Feb-09 |
36.18 |
7.9% |
| cash |
22-Feb-09 |
36.18 |
24-Feb-09 |
35.43 |
- |
| sell |
24-Feb-09 |
35.43 |
2-Mar-09 |
33.19 |
6.3% |
| cash |
2-Mar-09 |
33.19 |
3-Mar-09 |
33.36 |
- |
| buy |
3-Mar-09 |
33.36 |
4-Mar-09 |
33.06 |
(0.9%) |
| sell |
4-Mar-09 |
33.06 |
8-Mar-09 |
31.60 |
4.4% |
| cash |
8-Mar-09 |
31.60 |
12-Mar-09 |
34.96 |
- |
| buy |
12-Mar-09 |
34.96 |
22-Mar-09 |
38.12 |
9.0% |
| cash |
22-Mar-09 |
38.12 |
25-Mar-09 |
39.13 |
- |
| buy |
25-Mar-09 |
39.13 |
30-Mar-09 |
37.35 |
(4.5%) |
| cash |
30-Mar-09 |
37.35 |
5-Apr-09 |
39.68 |
- |
| buy |
5-Apr-09 |
39.68 |
12-Apr-09 |
40.12 |
1.1% |
| cash |
12-Apr-09 |
40.12 |
15-Apr-09 |
41.02 |
- |
| buy |
15-Apr-09 |
41.02 |
19-Apr-09 |
40.02 |
(2.4%) |
| cash |
19-Apr-09 |
40.02 |
21-Apr-09 |
39.56 |
- |
| sell |
21-Apr-09 |
39.56 |
26-Apr-09 |
40.89 |
(3.4%) |
| cash |
26-Apr-09 |
40.89 |
28-Apr-09 |
41.31 |
- |
| buy |
28-Apr-09 |
41.31 |
13-May-09 |
43.69 |
5.8% |
| sell |
13-May-09 |
43.69 |
27-May-09 |
46.40 |
(6.2%) |
| buy |
27-May-09 |
46.40 |
14-Jun-09 |
47.39 |
2.1% |
| cash |
14-Jun-09 |
47.39 |
28-Jun-09 |
46.16 |
- |
| sell |
28-Jun-09 |
46.16 |
21-Jul-09 |
47.65 |
(3.2%) |
| buy |
21-Jul-09 |
47.65 |
3-Aug-09 |
51.09 |
7.2% |
| cash |
3-Aug-09 |
51.09 |
6-Aug-09 |
51.16 |
- |
| buy |
6-Aug-09 |
51.16 |
17-Aug-09 |
49.91 |
(2.4%) |
| sell |
17-Aug-09 |
49.91 |
20-Aug-09 |
51.99 |
(4.2%) |
| cash |
20-Aug-09 |
51.99 |
23-Aug-09 |
52.57 |
- |
| buy |
23-Aug-09 |
52.57 |
7-Sep-09 |
53.65 |
2.1% |
| cash |
7-Sep-09 |
53.65 |
10-Sep-09 |
54.87 |
- |
| buy |
10-Sep-09 |
54.87 |
20-Sep-09 |
54.65 |
(0.4%) |
| cash |
20-Sep-09 |
54.65 |
27-Sep-09 |
54.44 |
- |
| buy |
27-Sep-09 |
54.44 |
1-Oct-09 |
52.45 |
(3.7%) |
| cash |
1-Oct-09 |
52.45 |
20-Oct-09 |
56.59 |
- |
| buy |
20-Oct-09 |
56.59 |
8-Jan-10 |
57.83 |
2.2% |
| cash |
8-Jan-10 |
57.83 |
22-Jan-10 |
54.86 |
- |
| buy |
22-Jan-10 |
54.86 |
26-Jan-10 |
53.88 |
(1.8%) |
| cash |
26-Jan-10 |
53.88 |
28-Jan-10 |
53.32 |
- |
| buy |
28-Jan-10 |
53.32 |
2-Feb-10 |
53.98 |
1.2% |
| cash |
2-Feb-10 |
53.98 |
23-Feb-10 |
52.37 |
- |
| buy |
23-Feb-10 |
52.37 |
23-Mar-10 |
55.00 |
5.0% |
| cash |
23-Mar-10 |
55.00 |
26-Mar-10 |
55.78 |
- |
| buy |
26-Mar-10 |
55.78 |
10-Apr-10 |
57.34 |
2.8% |
| cash |
10-Apr-10 |
57.34 |
14-Apr-10 |
57.69 |
- |
| buy |
14-Apr-10 |
57.69 |
6-May-10 |
49.81 |
(13.7%) |
| cash |
6-May-10 |
49.81 |
7-May-10 |
52.45 |
- |
| buy |
7-May-10 |
52.45 |
10-May-10 |
51.21 |
(2.4%) |
| cash |
10-May-10 |
51.21 |
13-May-10 |
50.82 |
- |
| buy |
13-May-10 |
50.82 |
4-Jun-10 |
47.07 |
(7.4%) |
| sell |
4-Jun-10 |
47.07 |
7-Jun-10 |
46.55 |
1.1% |
| cash |
7-Jun-10 |
46.55 |
8-Jun-10 |
47.33 |
- |
| buy |
8-Jun-10 |
47.33 |
14-Jun-10 |
50.00 |
5.6% |
| cash |
14-Jun-10 |
50.00 |
15-Jun-10 |
50.15 |
- |
| buy |
15-Jun-10 |
50.15 |
6-Jul-10 |
48.32 |
(3.6%) |
| cash |
6-Jul-10 |
48.32 |
9-Jul-10 |
49.65 |
- |
| buy |
9-Jul-10 |
49.65 |
| Long Only |
71.8% |
| Short Only |
58.9% |
| Compound Long and Short |
173.1% |
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*Dates refer to signal publication. Prices reflect those available on the morning following each signal. Results employ no margin leveraging, no interest while in cash, nor do they include distributions, broker fees, or tax implications. Latest signals are posted here with a delay of at least ten days. Subscribe for real-time signal access.
1Standard Deviation measures how widely values disperse from the average value. Often used as a metric for risk. Hence lower is better.
2Risk-Reward Ratio is the estimated potential gain (reward) relative to the estimated potential loss (risk). Here expressed by dividing the monthly average return by the standard deviation. Higher values are better.
3The 95% Confidence Interval statistically defines, with 95% probability, the upper bound and lower bound within which the true long-term monthly average resides.
4Win Rate is the percentage of non-negative monthly returns.
